Interest rate on your savings account may go up

A few months ago RBI mandated that all banks pay a interest rate of 3.5% on daily balance of savings accounts.

That was a very good change for customers, as the old way of calculating interest was unfair on them.

In the old way – banks used to take the minimum balance of your account between the 10th and last day of the month, and calculated interest on that. So, if you had a low balance on one day but a decent amount for the rest of the month – your interest would still be calculated based on the lowest balance.

Example: You have 40,000 from Feb 1st to 25th, but on the 26th, you pay off your car and housing loan EMI, due to which your balance comes down to just 5,000.

The bank will pay you interest for the whole month of February only on Rs. 5,000.

After the change – banks calculate interest on daily balances, and pay you interest according to what you have in your account every day.

Now RBI is thinking about another change that can benefit savers. It is mulling deregulation of interest rates on savings bank accounts.

Currently, RBI mandates that every bank pay an interest rate of 3.5% on savings accounts. But it is contemplating de-regulation, and may allow banks to set their own interest rates.

This will mean that banks have freedom to set interest rates and will compete with each other for saver’s funds.

There will be several implications of this, and let me pen down a few here:

1. Differences in interest rates will exist: It is quite likely that after these changes, some banks increase the interest rate by a percent or so to gain new accounts.  At the same time, some other banks that don’t need so much liquidity or provide other value added services may reduce the interest rates. (I realize this is a duh point, but needs to be stated nevertheless).

2. Hit bank margins: According to this NDTV article, State Bank of Hyderabad (SBH)Managing Director says that the bank’s net interest margins will be hit.  This is a clear sign that she expects the interest rates to go up once the deregulation takes place.

3. Customers will go rate-shopping: Not all customers will bother about a extra percent or so, but there will be a segment that has an eye on increasing interest rates and will move their money from one bank to another based on interest rates.

4. Banks will introduce teaser rates and confusing schemes: Banks will become innovative and introduce rates that are valid only for a few months or weeks, and then adjust downwards. As time goes by, they will get more and more innovative and the schemes will become increasingly complex. The customers will be confused about a lot of these schemes and won’t be sure how much their effective interest rate is and how much they are getting etc. This type of thing happens with most financial products, and this might not be any exception to it.

5. Interest rate fluctuation: Just as fixed deposit rates fluctuate, short term savings rate will also fluctuate with changing times, and consumers will have to get used to this new reality.

6. Different interest rates for different balances: It is possible that banks set two interest rates, one for lower balances and another for higher ones. This is already done for fixed deposits, and might also be done for savings account in the future.

What other things can you think of? I think this should be a good move for some if not all customers, but will hit the bank margins a little. 

Are you aware of this conflict of interest?

My dad used to joke that the only person who reads annual reports in the entire country is my grandpa. He used to read a lot of annual reports. He had a large stock-holding (still has quite a bit), and he was the one who got me introduced to the world of investing.

He has made more money in stocks than most people I know, and knows a lot about the markets and investing. His eyesight is really weak these days, and that makes tracking price quotes or just general reading quite difficult. He stopped following the stock market altogether for the past couple of years, but I met him yesterday and he said he has started a new thing.

He has given a small sum to a “business associate” of a big broker, and that guy trades on his behalf. At the end of every day, he sends a report of the money made or lost during the day and the list of trades.

I showed interest in this, and didn’t say anything because I know it keeps him busy and interested, and that is a small price to pay for the loss this business associate will eventually incur on my grandpa’s behalf.

Make no mistake about it, there will be a loss, and it will probably be all of his capital. I say this because of the huge conflict of interest coupled with the frequency of trades. There are so many trades that it is quite apparent that this guy is doing it just for the commissions.

Of all the conflicts of interest that exist in the investing world, a broker / sub – broker / business associate trading on behalf of their customer has got to be the worst one.

There is very little correlation between how much money the broker makes their customer and their own remuneration in the short term.

The broker makes their money by trading as much as possible, and incurring as much brokerage as possible, but at the same time – the brokerage is coming from the pocket of the investor. On the other hand, if the broker just buys once every month on the behalf of their investor and keep accumulating stock for a longer horizon, they’d make very little commission for themselves, even if they increase the chances of spreading out risk and making money for their customer.

If your  broker or business associate or whatever the heck they call it sends you a daily report of the trades they made, you are most likely getting screwed.

You need to compare your returns with the Nifty or Sensex returns and see how they are performing. You will be better off buying low cost index funds if the guy is not even making you as much as the Nifty, which you can replicate just by buying a Nifty mutual fund yourself.

If you have handed over money to someone to manage, you should seek returns that are at least higher than the returns of the stock market, which you can yourself easily replicate. If that is not happening, then it is time to move on.

This is not to say that all brokers who trade on behalf of their clients are crooks, there are plenty of good brokers too, people who advise you not to trade, and people who highlight to you how much you have paid them in commissions while making very little for your self. I have met such people and if you have to have someone manage your money, you should look for someone who will ask you to stop trading even if that means less commissions for him.

6 things you should know about company fixed deposits

I recently received a comment from a reader about investing in company fixed deposits, and I thought I should do a post about some important things to keep in mind while investing in company fixed deposits.  So, here is a post with a few pointers on company fixed deposit.

Company Fixed Deposits
Company Fixed Deposits

1. Company fixed deposits offer better interest rates than banks

You probably know this already but it is an important enough point to be on top of the list. Company fixed deposits will give you a higher return than comparative bank fixed deposits. This is because of the additional risk, for example the DHFL fixed deposit that was concluded a few months ago offered interest rate of 9% per annum, when the highest any bank was offering was 7%.

2. Additional risk

Company fixed deposits have higher risk than bank fixed deposits because these type of deposits are unsecured, if the company goes bust you will lose your money, and unlike banks, they don’t have any backing of the RBI. A lot depends on the performance and reputation of the company of course. A strong company that regularly pays out dividends and has no losses is perhaps a good bet, whereas a company that has made regular losses should raise eyebrows.

3. Company fixed deposits are rated by Rating Agencies

The rating agencies hand out ratings to the particular offering, and that can help you make a decision. For example, The Shriram Transport Finance FD scheme was rated tAA (investment grade) by Fitch. These ratings can help raise flags if any offering is rated low, and you can possibly avoid such fixed deposits.

There was a comment that asked what the RBI rating of a fixed deposit was, but RBI does not rate company fixed deposits, and in case of default by the company – RBI is not going to back them in any way.

4. Company fixed deposits may be unsecured

Company fixed deposits may be unsecured debt, which means there is no underlying collateral, and in case of default, you won’t get the funds back by selling off your documents.

5. TDS on Company Fixed Deposits

If the interest you get from the deposit is less than Rs. 5,000 in a year, then there won’t be any TDS on it. You can think about spreading your investments in multiple fixed deposits if you foresee a situation where your interest is going to be larger than Rs.5,000 from one fixed deposit.

6. You could keep a shorter horizon

Normally, a  higher time period will get you higher interest rates, but if you are not very comfortable with investing money in a company fixed deposit then you can select a shorter time frame like a  year.

Like most investing decisions, whether you invest in these things or not, and how much money you do will depend on your particular circumstances. If you prefer safety over everything else, then it is best to leave these things alone. If you have a moderate risk appetite then you might as well try investing money with some of the better known companies.

Image: Bhautik Joshi

Update: The earlier version said that company fixed deposits are always unsecured debt. This is not always true, in some cases they issue secure debt as well.

Happy Sunday

Some really cool stuff that I came across today.

First, this awesome dancing robots video. They are called Nao, and not only can they perform a mean dance, they can play football as well.

The dance is so well synchronized and  graceful at times that I wondered if these are really machines. This is quite something!

Next up is this inspirational Michael Jordan Nike ad. Enjoy!

And if you are in no mood to watch videos then enjoy this one from Scott Adams.

Dilbert.com

Enjoy your Sunday.

IRDA to continue regulating ULIPs

You have most probably read about this already, so I am just going to do a quick post and send you the way of Dhirendra Kumar’s excellent piece in Value Research where he talks about what this decision means to you. His piece is much better than anything I could have written about this topic, and I hope all of you read the whole thing and pay good attention to it.

Excerpt:

Over the last couple of days, you may have heard and read in the media that the ULIP battle is over and the government has changed the relevant laws to ensure that IRDA continues to regulate ULIPs. Don’t believe this for one moment-nothing is over. All that has happened is that the government has decided to throw investor to the wolves. Investors will now themselves have to take the full responsibility of discovering the truth about this most toxic of all asset types and keeping their money safe from it. Given the enormous financial clout and the marketing hype of the insurance industry (not to speak of their tame regulator), expect no more than some cosmetic changes which enable insurers to give a fig-leaf of a PR spin that if there were any problems with ULIPs, they have been fixed.

Now you can monitor how the Infrastructure sector is doing

The Planning Commission has come up with a great new idea of making the infrastructure sector progress information available online. Now anyone with an internet connection can see how the different infrastructure ministries are faring with respect to their targets.

This is awesome transparency and as time goes by – this site will have data ranging for multiple years, and we’d be able to compare the progress made under different governments and ministers.

I took a look at some of the data available on the Monitorable Targets and Milestones for 2010 – 11 website, and compile this graph here.

For this post, let me share the graph on road completion for the year 2009 – 10 with you. This has targets vs. actuals, and is broken down according to the various phases of National Highways Development Project (NHDP).

Construction Completed 2009 - 10 (in Kms)
Construction Completed 2009 - 10 (in Kms)

A quick scan of the graph shows you that apart from NHDP V, no phase could meet its targets. It also shows you the relative size of the various phases.

Here is a description of the various phases found on the NHAI website:

NHDP Phase I : NHDP Phase I was approved by Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) in December 2000 at an estimated cost of Rs.30,000 crore comprises mostly of GQ (5,846 km) and NS-EW Corridor (981km), port connectivity (356 km) and others (315 km). GQ is Golden Quadrilateral.

NHDP Phase II : NHDP Phase II was approved by CCEA in December 2003 at an estimated cost of Rs.34,339 crore (2002 prices) comprises mostly NS-EW Corridor (6,161 km) and other National Highways of 486 km length, the total length being 6,647 km. The total length of Phase II is 6,647 km.

NHDP Phase-III: Government approved on 5.3.2005 upgradation and 4 laning of 4,035 km of National Highways on BOT basis at an estimated cost of Rs. 22,207 crores (2004 prices). Government approved in April 2007 upgradation and 4 laning at 8074 km at an estimated cost of Rs. 54,339 crore.

NHDP Phase V: CCEA has approved on 5.10.2006 six laning of 6,500 km of existing 4 lane highways under NHDP Phase V (on DBFO basis). Six laning of 6,500 km includes 5,700 km of GQ and other stretches.

NHDP Phase VI: CCEA has approved on November 2006 for 1000 km of expressways at an estimated cost of Rs. 16680 crs .

NHDP Phase VII: CCEA has approved on December 2007 for 700 km of Ring Roads, Bypasses and flyovers and selected stretches at an estimated cost of Rs. 16680 crs .

These numbers may or may not please you, but the transparency that this process brings in is surely fantastic. I hope the mainstream media takes notice of this and these measures become actively targeted so that we know how effective various departments and ministries have been in implementing their plans.

Weekend Links: 12th June 2010

I’ve had to unexpectedly travel and that’s why I have been quite over the past couple of weeks. There is still some travel in store in the coming few days, but I expect to get back on track as far as writing is concerned.

After several days I got a chance to read for a few hours today, and here are some links that I thought were worth sharing.

Too much anger, and too few ideas. America needs a better alternative to Barack Obama @ Economist

Why do we not have quality investigative reports in India @ Prof. Jayanth R. Varma

Mukesh back in telecoms with InfoTel @ Financial Express

TipBlog Portfolio Update 1h 2010 @ Tip Blog

Five Questions to build a strategy @ HBR

Greed’s not good for shareholders @ Psy Fi Blog

Why online banking customer satisfaction matters @ The Digerati Life

Ally Bank: Review of online banking services @ Smarter Wallet